USD/JPY maintains cautiously bullish outlook as JPY showed recent strength on poor US data pushing yields up and weakening USD. Critical: Japanese economy shrank 2.3% in previous quarter (June-September). Takaichi government’s stimulus combating decline but pushing Japanese yields up, particularly short-end. BoJ supportive of stimulus but bond market skeptical with rates rising further. BoJ will continue hiking rates, making Japanese debt more expensive going forward—creating medium-term bear case for JPY dependent on US getting macroeconomics right.
Key Levels: Support at 154.713 | Resistance at 155.518
Investor Takeaway: Near-term JPY strength on US weakness but -2.3% GDP contraction and rising debt costs create medium-term bearish JPY outlook.
