Trading Insights

Macro Snapshot

  • Fed Decision Day: Rate cut highly anticipated; decision will significantly affect market direction
  • Bull Steepener: Yield curve dramatically steeper than June levels from lower maturity debt issuance
  • Liquidity Drought: Constraining equity rallies despite strong earnings and rate cut expectations
  • JOLTS Improvement: October better than summer but labor market weakness persists
  • Triple Divergence: ECB hiking, BoJ hiking, Fed cutting—dollar strength thesis intact
  • Capital Flow Shift: Pro-liquidity US environment likely to reverse flows from Japan
  • Crypto Paralysis: BTC resistance test failed, ETH range-bound awaiting Fed clarity
  • Silver Breakout: Surges through $60 as AI/data center demand thesis gains traction

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