Trading Insights

Macro Snapshot

  • Fed Chair Succession: Trump naming Powell replacement this month—dovish appointment could break policy deadlock
  • Labor Data Critical: Today’s job openings and ADP NFP determine labor market health amid holiday normalization
  • Long Bond Case: Rates drifting downward over time supports comeback for long duration positioning
  • DRAM Super-Cycle: Jensen Huang’s CES speech validates memory price spike forecasts into mid-2026
  • Memory Beneficiaries: ASML, AMAT targets raised on equipment supplier exposure to HBM/cold storage demand
  • Silver Paper Crisis: $9+ Shanghai premium ($88 vs $79 Comex) exposes physical shortage Western markets ignore
  • China Export Controls: Government restrictions on silver adding to Shanghai premium and supply tightness
  • Venezuelan Gold Prize: US invasion creates gold acquisition opportunity from Venezuela’s large reserves

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