Trading Insights

Macro Snapshot

  • Goldilocks Jobs Data: JOLTS at 5-year low (7.1M) while ADP shows tepid stabilization (+41K)
  • Labor Market Cooling: Softer demand but not collapsing—supports soft landing narrative
  • Services vs Goods Divide: Services adding jobs (education/health, leisure, financial) while goods shed workers (manufacturing -5K)
  • Manufacturing Weakness: Goods-producing industries lost 3K jobs, led by manufacturing decline
  • Professional Services Collapse: Lost 29K jobs—information sector shed 12K
  • Friday NFP Key: Market awaits comprehensive employment picture from BLS
  • Tech Oversold: RSI 28 (S&P), RSI 36 (Nasdaq)—turnaround expected on extreme conditions
  • Silver Paper Crisis Continues: Western markets refuse to reflect Shanghai shortage despite CME margin hikes

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