Trading Insights

Macro Snapshot

  • Core CPI 4-Year Low: 2.6% y/y—cooler than expected, signaling continued disinflation in underlying prices
  • Headline CPI Steady: 2.7% y/y unchanged from November, below 3% for second straight month
  • Supercore Cooling: Core services ex-housing at 2.7% y/y, down from ~4% year earlier
  • Tariff Pressure Fading: Core goods inflation slowed to 1.4% y/y as retailers absorbed costs
  • January Cut Dead: Inflation above 2% target makes rate cut at January FOMC unlikely
  • PPI Today: Critical for confirming inflation trajectory after CPI disinflation signal
  • Silver Historic: $90 level reached—up from sub-$80 just days ago on institutional crisis
  • Tech Energy Overhang: Trump’s data center cost proposal remains threat despite favorable macro backdrop

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