Trading Insights

Macro Snapshots

Bull Steepener in Play – Fed bill purchases and lower short-end yields are loosening the front end.
Growth > Inflation – Weak labor markets and soft demand remain the dominant macro headwinds.
Fiscal Uncertainty Rising – Federal spending plans and TGA dynamics remain core liquidity drivers.
Global Divergence – BoJ tightening bias vs Fed easing; ECB hawkish tones supporting the Euro.
Liquidity Stress – Crypto, metals, and risk assets all remain sensitive to marginal liquidity shifts.
Volatility Ahead – Markets need clearer job, consumption, and income data before direction firms.

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