Trading Insights

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$102.65 -0.60%

Macro Watch

  • GDP Surprise: Q2 final at 3.8% vs 3.3% expected, led by services and durable goods.
  • Fed Outlook: October rate-cut probability slashed on strong data.
  • Sector Leaders: Finance, manufacturing, information, and mining drive growth.
  • Consumer Signal: Households shift toward durables and appliances, boosting confidence.
  • Dollar Strength: Robust U.S. data underpins USD across majors.
  • Fiscal Flows: TGA at $690B, heading toward $850B before spillovers emerge.
  • Growth Path: Q3 consensus moderates to 1.5–3.3% as momentum eases.