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S&P 500

Divided Fed Weighs Growth vs Inflation Ahead of Powell’s Speech


The S&P 500 holds a cautiously bullish tone as investors await Powell’s remarks today. FOMC members are sharply divided, ranging from calls for aggressive 125 bps cuts to resistance against easing altogether. The Fed raised its 2025 GDP forecast to 1.6% (from 1.4%), attributing gains to AI and data center investment, though households see little benefit. Inflation is projected at 3.0% for 2025, worsened by tariffs, while labor participation and wage growth remain structural challenges.
Key Levels: Support at 6,624 | Resistance at 6,718
Investor Takeaway: RSI at 70 with flat MACD signals possible consolidation; Powell’s tone could steer near-term direction.