The S&P 500 maintains a cautiously bullish stance as US yields decline and the curve steepens. The Fed’s ongoing absorption of short-end maturities through auctions and OMOs is supplying liquidity back into bank reserves while structurally depressing front-end yields. Limited issuance at the long end continues to suppress note/bond yields and reduce the government’s servicing burden. However, secular growth concerns remain unresolved: weakening labor markets, soft consumption, and muted private investment point to insufficient economic output to comfortably service federal debt. Into 2026, credit creation and income growth will be more critical than inflation, which remains subdued due to labor market weakness.
Key Levels: Support 6,790.8 | Resistance 6,962.2
Investor Takeaway: MACD indicates building bullish momentum; breakout above resistance could trigger an upside run as the index nears a two-pitchfork intersection.
