Trading Insights

S&P 500 (US 500)

Macro & Yield Context

Outlook: Cautiously Bullish
Time Horizon: 1 Day

  • US yields declined as markets entered holiday-thinned trading conditions.
  • The move appears driven by cooling inflation expectations alongside incremental liquidity support from the US Treasury and Federal Reserve.
  • Notably, yields had risen for two consecutive sessions following the inflation release, suggesting residual inflation sensitivity before the recent pullback.

Technical Outlook

  • Price remains anchored between the lower and median prongs of the hourly pitchfork.
  • Index has cleared R1, reinforcing short-term bullish structure.
  • RSI sits at 58, below its moving average, indicating momentum remains constructive but not overextended.
  • MACD reflects mild selling pressure, consistent with post-rally digestion.

Key Levels:
Support: 6,762.3 | Resistance: 6,915.6

Investor Takeaway:
Holiday liquidity and falling yields are supportive, but momentum remains controlled. A sustained break above resistance would be required to confirm continuation.

Disclaimer

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