Yields fell yesterday with risk-on sentiment climbing steeply. US yield curve remains steep despite rise in yields as longer yields rose more sharply than shorter yields. Futures flat overnight as markets await this week’s economic data. Today’s job openings and ADP NFP crucial for determining labor market health. While unemployment slowed in December due to holiday season, can expect normalization and decline as credit growth and liquidity resume. Critical development: This month, President Trump will announce successor to Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. Fed currently divided on future of rates; having new dovish chair likely to break deadlock. Case for long bonds likely to make comeback this year as rates continue drifting downwards over time.
Key Levels: Support at 6,785.10 | Resistance at 6,987.0
Investor Takeaway: RSI at 62 below MA line with flat MACD selling momentum; Trump’s Fed Chair appointment could break policy deadlock with dovish tilt supporting long bond case.
