USD/JPY maintains cautiously bullish outlook as JPY showed recent strength on poor US data. Japanese economy shrank 2.3% Q3 (June-September). Takaichi stimulus pushing Japanese yields higher, particularly short-end; BoJ supportive but bond market skeptical. BoJ will continue hiking rates, making Japanese debt more expensive. Fed and BoJ, like ECB and Fed, now on divergent monetary policy paths. Combination of strong US fundamentals and rate cuts likely to spur USD strength further—creating medium-term JPY bear case dependent on US getting macroeconomics right.
Key Levels: Support at 154.616 | Resistance at 158.232
Investor Takeaway: Central bank divergence (Fed cuts, BoJ hikes) plus strong US fundamentals support medium-term dollar strength despite near-term JPY resilience on weak US data.
